AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 08, 2024

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Home
VS
22:00

Venados FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Venados FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.97 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-1
Aug 11 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 0-2
Aug 03 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 3-0
Apr 21 Alebrijes… vs CA La Paz 3-2
Apr 18 Alebrijes… vs Cimarrones 1-1
Apr 13 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 3-3
Apr 03 Alebrijes… vs Dorados 1-3
Mar 27 Alebrijes… vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Mar 23 Alebrijes… vs CA La Paz 2-1
Mar 13 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-1
Venados FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-1
Apr 27 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 2-3
Apr 25 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-1
Apr 10 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 0-1
Apr 04 Venados FC vs CancĂşn 2-0
Mar 29 Venados FC vs Monarcas 3-4
Mar 24 Venados FC vs Correcami… 2-1
Mar 13 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 2-1
Feb 22 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Feb 01 Venados FC vs Dorados 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 13, 2024 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Sep 05, 2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 1 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Jan 19, 2023 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Venados FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Venados FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.