AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 13, 2024

Venados FC

Home
VS
03:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.51 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Venados FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Feb 01 Venados FC vs Dorados 2-3
Jan 11 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-2
Nov 12 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-0
Oct 16 Venados FC vs Dorados 4-1
Sep 05 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 2-1
Aug 30 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 2-1
Aug 12 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-3
Apr 12 Venados FC vs Dorados 0-5
Mar 29 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 1-1
Jan 17 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 3-0
Oct 14 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 2-5
Oct 05 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 0-0
Sep 05 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-1
Aug 11 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 1-1
Apr 14 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 2-1
Apr 07 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 1-0
Mar 22 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 3-6
Jan 19 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Venados FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 05, 2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 1 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Jan 19, 2023 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.