AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 05, 2023

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Home
VS
23:05

Venados FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Venados FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 0.96 - 1.29
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 1-1
Apr 14 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 2-1
Apr 07 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 1-0
Mar 22 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 3-6
Jan 19 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-1
Oct 22 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-1
Aug 27 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-3
Aug 17 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 0-0
Aug 11 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 2-2
Jul 08 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 0-0
Venados FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 2-1
Aug 12 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-3
Apr 12 Venados FC vs Dorados 0-5
Mar 29 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-2
Mar 23 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-0
Jan 19 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 2-1
Sep 30 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Sep 26 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-0
Aug 11 Venados FC vs Dorados 1-1
Jul 08 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2023 Venados FC 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Venados FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Venados FC Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.