AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Jan 19, 2023

Venados FC

Home
VS
03:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.88 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Venados FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Sep 26 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-0
Aug 11 Venados FC vs Dorados 1-1
Jul 08 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 0-0
Mar 30 Venados FC vs Dorados 2-1
Feb 09 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 1-0
Jan 20 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Nov 18 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 3-0
Oct 28 Venados FC vs Dorados 3-0
Oct 06 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-1
Aug 27 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-3
Aug 17 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 0-0
Aug 11 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 2-2
Jul 08 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 0-0
Feb 22 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 4-2
Feb 09 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 1-0
Jan 29 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 06 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 2-0
Nov 10 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 08, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Feb 09, 2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Venados FC Liga de Expans…
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.