AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 09, 2022

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Home
VS
23:00

Venados FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Venados FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 06 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 2-0
Nov 10 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 1-2
Oct 06 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 1-1
Sep 24 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-0
Sep 14 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 2-1
Apr 21 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 6-0
Mar 24 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 0-0
Feb 06 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-2
Venados FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Nov 18 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 3-0
Oct 28 Venados FC vs Dorados 3-0
Oct 06 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Apr 09 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Feb 21 Venados FC vs Dorados 0-0
Feb 06 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2021 Venados FC 1 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Venados FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Venados FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.