AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Oct 06, 2021

Venados FC

Home
VS
00:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.88 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Venados FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Feb 21 Venados FC vs Dorados 0-0
Feb 06 Venados FC vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Alebrijes… vs Monarcas 1-0
Sep 14 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 2-1
Apr 21 Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… 6-0
Mar 24 Alebrijes… vs Cancún 0-0
Feb 06 Alebrijes… vs Venados FC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2021 Venados FC 2 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.