AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 07, 2025

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
01:00

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tepatitlán Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.35 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-3
Jan 25 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Jan 17 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Oct 11 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-0
Sep 21 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 6-0
Aug 31 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Aug 09 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 5-1
Aug 04 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 3-2
Apr 12 Correcami… vs Atlante FC 4-0
Mar 28 Correcami… vs Cimarrones 0-2
Tepatitlán Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-0
Feb 08 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-0
Nov 11 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-1
Nov 08 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-1
Oct 12 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 1-1
Sep 28 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 1-1
Sep 21 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 6-0
Sep 01 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-0
Aug 25 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Apr 11 Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2024 Tepatitlán 6 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 07, 2024 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 0 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Sep 13, 2023 Tepatitlán 2 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 15, 2023 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-10

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.