AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 21, 2024

Tepatitlán

Home
VS
03:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tepatitlán Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Correcaminos Uat Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.30 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Tepatitlán Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-0
Aug 25 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Apr 11 Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… 3-2
Apr 05 Tepatitlán vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Mar 27 Tepatitlán vs Alebrijes… 1-0
Mar 23 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 0-4
Mar 14 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-2
Mar 07 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 2-0
Jan 12 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Sep 25 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-2
Correcaminos Uat Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Aug 09 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 5-1
Aug 04 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 3-2
Apr 12 Correcami… vs Atlante FC 4-0
Mar 28 Correcami… vs Cimarrones 0-2
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Venados FC 2-1
Mar 18 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Mar 07 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 2-0
Mar 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Feb 28 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tepatitlán struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Correcaminos Uat struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 07, 2024 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 0 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Sep 13, 2023 Tepatitlán 2 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 15, 2023 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tepatitlán Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tepatitlán Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.