AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 07, 2024

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
01:05

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tepatitlán Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.72 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Correcaminos Uat Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Feb 28 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-1
Feb 21 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-1
Nov 10 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 0-1
Nov 01 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-1
Oct 27 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-0
Sep 21 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Sep 13 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 2-1
Aug 13 Correcami… vs Monarcas 2-0
Apr 21 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-0
Tepatitlán Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 12 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Sep 25 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-2
Sep 13 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 2-1
Sep 10 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 1-2
Aug 06 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 2-2
Mar 31 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 0-0
Mar 26 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 0-2
Mar 15 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 2-1
Mar 02 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-1
Sep 24 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tepatitlán in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2023 Tepatitlán 2 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 15, 2023 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-10

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.