AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 13, 2023

Tepatitlán

Home
VS
23:05

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tepatitlán Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Correcaminos Uat Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Tepatitlán Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 1-2
Aug 06 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 2-2
Mar 31 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 0-0
Mar 26 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 0-2
Mar 15 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 2-1
Mar 02 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-1
Sep 24 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 3-2
Aug 29 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Aug 19 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 3-0
Jun 27 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Correcami… vs Monarcas 2-0
Apr 21 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-0
Mar 15 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 2-1
Mar 08 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Feb 03 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Oct 06 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-2
Aug 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-2
Aug 19 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 3-0
Aug 05 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2023 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tepatitlán Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tepatitlán Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.