AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 15, 2023

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
03:05

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tepatitlán Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.30 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Correcaminos Uat Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Feb 03 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Oct 06 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 4-2
Aug 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-2
Aug 19 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 3-0
Aug 05 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-0
Jul 22 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-0
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 4-0
Feb 09 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Tepatitlán Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-1
Sep 24 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 3-2
Aug 29 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Aug 19 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 3-0
Jun 27 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Mar 27 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 2-1
Mar 02 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-0
Feb 16 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Jan 13 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 1-1
Dec 05 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tepatitlán in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-10

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.