AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 19, 2022

Tepatitlán

Home
VS
22:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Tepatitlán Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Correcaminos Uat Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.76 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Tepatitlán Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 27 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Mar 27 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 2-1
Mar 02 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-0
Feb 16 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 2-0
Jan 13 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 1-1
Dec 05 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 1-0
Dec 02 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 0-1
Nov 07 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-0
Aug 05 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 2-1
Mar 10 Tepatitlán vs Correcami… 1-0
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-0
Jul 22 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-0
Mar 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 4-0
Feb 09 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Jan 27 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-3
Jan 13 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Nov 24 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Sep 02 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Aug 27 Correcami… vs Monarcas 2-1
Aug 19 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tepatitlán in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tepatitlán Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tepatitlán Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.