AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 06, 2025

GIL Vicente

Home
VS
14:30

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
GIL Vicente Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Moreirense Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.35 - 0.79
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 0-1 (25%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
GIL Vicente Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 GIL Vicen… vs Boavista 1-3
Mar 28 GIL Vicen… vs Benfica 0-3
Mar 15 GIL Vicen… vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Mar 07 GIL Vicen… vs Estrela d… 1-1
Feb 27 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 0-1
Feb 22 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 1-0
Feb 17 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 0-2
Feb 09 GIL Vicen… vs SC Braga 2-0
Feb 01 GIL Vicen… vs Estoril 1-2
Jan 27 GIL Vicen… vs AVS 1-0
Moreirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 2-2
Mar 16 Moreirense vs Boavista 1-0
Mar 15 Moreirense vs Chaves 4-0
Mar 14 Moreirense vs Portimone… 1-2
Mar 09 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 1-1
Mar 02 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 1-1
Feb 23 Moreirense vs Famalicao 2-0
Feb 22 Moreirense vs Moreirense 3-1
Feb 16 Moreirense vs Benfica 3-2
Feb 15 Moreirense vs Casa Pia … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • GIL Vicente struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Moreirense Taça de Portug…
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Pro League
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GIL Vicente Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

GIL Vicente Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Moreirense Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.