AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Nov 08, 2024

Moreirense

Home
VS
20:15

GIL Vicente

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
GIL Vicente Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.52 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Moreirense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
Nov 03 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
Oct 31 Moreirense vs FC Porto 2-0
Oct 26 Moreirense vs Boavista 0-2
Oct 26 Moreirense vs Chaves 0-3
Oct 26 Moreirense vs Portimone… 1-1
Oct 20 Moreirense vs O Elvas 3-2
Oct 05 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 1-0
Oct 05 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 1-0
Sep 29 Moreirense vs Moreirense 1-0
GIL Vicente Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 GIL Vicen… vs Boavista 1-2
Oct 25 GIL Vicen… vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Oct 25 GIL Vicen… vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Oct 05 GIL Vicen… vs Estrela d… 3-0
Sep 28 GIL Vicen… vs Benfica 5-1
Sep 22 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 1-1
Sep 22 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 1-1
Sep 14 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 1-1
Sep 14 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 1-1
Sep 01 GIL Vicen… vs SC Braga 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moreirense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • GIL Vicente struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Moreirense 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
GIL Vicente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Moreirense Position

-1

Position Gap

5

GIL Vicente Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.