AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Dec 11, 2023

GIL Vicente

Home
VS
20:15

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
GIL Vicente Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Moreirense Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
GIL Vicente Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 3-1
Dec 04 GIL Vicen… vs Sp Lisbon 3-1
Nov 12 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Nov 04 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 3-1
Oct 02 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 2-0
Sep 23 GIL Vicen… vs FC Porto 2-1
Aug 19 GIL Vicen… vs Guimaraes 2-1
May 27 GIL Vicen… vs Casa Pia … 1-0
May 21 GIL Vicen… vs Guimaraes 1-0
Apr 05 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 0-0
Moreirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Moreirense vs Benfica 0-0
Dec 03 Moreirense vs Benfica 0-0
Dec 03 Moreirense vs Leixões SC 0-0
Nov 26 Moreirense vs Tondela 1-1
Nov 25 Moreirense vs Benfica 1-1
Nov 19 Moreirense vs MarĂ­timo 1-2
Nov 11 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 0-1
Nov 05 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 1-0
Nov 04 Moreirense vs FC Porto 2-0
Oct 01 Moreirense vs Pacos Fer… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • GIL Vicente struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Moreirense 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GIL Vicente Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

GIL Vicente Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Moreirense Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.