AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Apr 08, 2022

GIL Vicente

Home
VS
19:15

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
GIL Vicente Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Moreirense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.50 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
GIL Vicente Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 GIL Vicen… vs Arouca 2-1
Feb 27 GIL Vicen… vs FC Porto 1-1
Jan 10 GIL Vicen… vs Guimaraes 3-2
Dec 28 GIL Vicen… vs Tondela 0-3
Dec 18 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 0-3
Dec 05 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 4-0
Nov 26 GIL Vicen… vs Moreirense 2-2
Nov 05 GIL Vicen… vs Arouca 1-1
Sep 24 GIL Vicen… vs FC Porto 1-2
Jul 24 GIL Vicen… vs Tondela 0-1
Moreirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 0-1
Apr 02 Moreirense vs Académico… 2-1
Mar 05 Moreirense vs Lusitânia… 4-4
Feb 18 Moreirense vs Felgueira… 2-1
Feb 13 Moreirense vs Famalicao 5-0
Jan 22 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 0-2
Jan 15 Moreirense vs Benfica 1-1
Jan 08 Moreirense vs Sporting … 1-0
Jan 03 Moreirense vs Tondela 2-1
Dec 28 Moreirense vs Estoril 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 11, 2021 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Dec 05, 2020 Moreirense 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GIL Vicente Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

GIL Vicente Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Moreirense Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.