AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Sep 13, 2021

Tondela

Home
VS
20:15

Estoril

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Tondela Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
Estoril Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.69 - 1.23
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tondela Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Estoril Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Tondela Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Tondela vs Benfica 2-1
Jul 24 Tondela vs GIL Vicen… 0-1
Apr 30 Tondela vs Benfica 0-2
Apr 26 Tondela vs Famalicao 2-2
Apr 22 Tondela vs Nacional 2-1
Apr 17 Tondela vs Moreirense 2-3
Apr 10 Tondela vs FC Porto 0-2
Feb 28 Tondela vs GIL Vicen… 1-0
Feb 21 Tondela vs SC Braga 4-2
Jan 08 Tondela vs Benfica 2-0
Estoril Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Estoril vs Guimaraes 0-0
Dec 17 Estoril vs SC Braga 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tondela struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tondela Power 0
Estoril Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Tondela Position

-9

Position Gap

8

Estoril Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.