AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Aug 12, 2024

Arouca

Home
VS
19:15

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Arouca Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Guimaraes Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 0.86 - 1.17
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arouca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Arouca Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 3-2
May 18 Arouca vs Guimaraes 1-3
May 18 Arouca vs Guimaraes 1-3
May 12 Arouca vs Benfica 5-0
May 12 Arouca vs Benfica 5-0
May 05 Arouca vs Estrela d… 0-0
May 05 Arouca vs Estrela d… 0-0
Apr 26 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 2-2
Apr 26 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 2-2
Apr 19 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Guimaraes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Guimaraes vs Arouca 1-3
May 18 Guimaraes vs Arouca 1-3
May 11 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 2-3
May 11 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 2-3
May 04 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 2-1
May 04 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 2-1
Apr 27 Guimaraes vs Boavista 1-0
Apr 27 Guimaraes vs Boavista 1-0
Apr 21 Guimaraes vs Sp Lisbon 3-0
Apr 21 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arouca struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Guimaraes struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1 - 3 Guimaraes Pro League
May 18, 2024 Arouca 1 - 3 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca Pro League
Jan 15, 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca Primeira Liga
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0 - 2 Arouca Primeira Liga
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Arouca Primeira Liga
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0 - 0 Guimaraes Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arouca Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Arouca Position

-2

Position Gap

9

Guimaraes Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.