AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Jan 15, 2024

Guimaraes

Home
VS
20:15

Arouca

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Guimaraes Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Arouca Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.41 - 1.46
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Arouca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Guimaraes Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Guimaraes vs Penafiel … 1-0
Jan 06 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 1-1
Jan 06 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 1-1
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Dec 16 Guimaraes vs Boavista 1-1
Dec 09 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 3-2
Dec 09 Guimaraes vs Sp Lisbon 3-2
Dec 02 Guimaraes vs Farense 1-2
Nov 25 Guimaraes vs Länk FC V… 4-1
Arouca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Arouca vs Vizela 1-0
Jan 06 Arouca vs Benfica 0-3
Dec 28 Arouca vs Estrela d… 1-4
Dec 28 Arouca vs Estrela d… 1-4
Dec 16 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 3-0
Dec 16 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 3-0
Dec 10 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 2-2
Dec 10 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 2-2
Dec 03 Arouca vs Boavista 0-4
Nov 26 Arouca vs Boavista 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Arouca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 Guimaraes 0 - 2 Arouca Primeira Liga
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Arouca Primeira Liga
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0 - 0 Guimaraes Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guimaraes Power 0
Arouca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Guimaraes Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Arouca Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.