AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Mar 11, 2023

Guimaraes

Home
VS
18:00

Arouca

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Guimaraes Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Arouca Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.08 - 1.98
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Arouca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Guimaraes Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 2-1
Feb 19 Guimaraes vs Varzim 2-1
Feb 19 Guimaraes vs Casa Pia … 0-0
Feb 11 Guimaraes vs Fafe 1-0
Feb 04 Guimaraes vs Estoril 0-1
Feb 04 Guimaraes vs São João … 1-3
Jan 30 Guimaraes vs SC Braga 3-0
Jan 21 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 0-1
Jan 16 Guimaraes vs GIL Vicen… 2-1
Jan 13 Guimaraes vs Paredes 1-1
Arouca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Arouca vs Santa Cla… 1-0
Feb 05 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 1-1
Jan 24 Arouca vs Sporting … 1-2
Dec 16 Arouca vs Santa Cla… 1-2
Nov 12 Arouca vs Rio Ave FC 0-1
Nov 08 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 1-4
Oct 29 Arouca vs Sporting … 1-0
Sep 18 Arouca vs Guimaraes 2-2
Aug 20 Arouca vs Santa Cla… 1-2
Aug 15 Arouca vs GIL Vicen… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 18, 2022 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Feb 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Arouca Primeira Liga
Sep 18, 2021 Arouca 2 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Nov 21, 2020 Arouca 0 - 0 Guimaraes Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guimaraes Power 0
Arouca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Guimaraes Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Arouca Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.