AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 30, 2025

Police

Home
VS
21:00

Phoenix

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Police Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Phoenix Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.98 - 4.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Phoenix Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-3 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 3-2 (3%) 1-3 (3%) 1-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Police Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Police vs Defence F… 2-1
Feb 09 Police vs Club Sando 0-1
Jan 31 Police vs Central 7-5
Jan 26 Police vs Morvant C… 1-4
Jan 17 Police vs Ath­let­i… 0-2
Jan 03 Police vs La Horque… 1-2
Dec 26 Police vs Prison Se… 5-1
Dec 22 Police vs San Juan … 3-3
Dec 15 Police vs Phoenix 2-4
Dec 06 Police vs Defence F… 1-2
Phoenix Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Phoenix vs Cunupia 4-1
Feb 09 Phoenix vs Cunupia 0-0
Jan 24 Phoenix vs La Horque… 1-1
Jan 11 Phoenix vs San Juan … 1-3
Jan 03 Phoenix vs Central 2-6
Dec 26 Phoenix vs Morvant C… 2-1
Dec 22 Phoenix vs Prison Se… 2-1
Dec 15 Phoenix vs Police 2-4
Dec 08 Phoenix vs Point For… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Police in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2024 Phoenix 2 - 4 Police Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Police to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Police Power 0
Phoenix Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Police Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Phoenix Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.