AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 15, 2024

Ath­let­ic Club

Home
VS
23:00

Morvant Caledonia United

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Ath­let­ic Club Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Morvant Caledonia United Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.59 - 1.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ath­let­ic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Morvant Caledonia United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Ath­let­ic Club Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Ath­let­i… vs Cunupia 1-4
May 11 Ath­let­i… vs Club Sando 3-0
May 03 Ath­let­i… vs Prison Se… 1-1
Apr 08 Ath­let­i… vs Police 1-1
Apr 04 Ath­let­i… vs Defence F… 2-0
Mar 27 Ath­let­i… vs Cunupia 2-1
Mar 14 Ath­let­i… vs Central 2-2
Mar 07 Ath­let­i… vs La Horque… 1-3
Feb 18 Ath­let­i… vs Morvant C… 3-3
Jan 27 Ath­let­i… vs Club Sando 2-4
Morvant Caledonia United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Morvant C… vs La Horque… 2-3
May 08 Morvant C… vs Point For… 6-1
Apr 16 Morvant C… vs Club Sando 2-2
Apr 07 Morvant C… vs Prison Se… 1-0
Apr 04 Morvant C… vs Police 2-1
Mar 28 Morvant C… vs Defence F… 1-1
Mar 15 Morvant C… vs Cunupia 0-3
Mar 10 Morvant C… vs Central 2-0
Feb 24 Morvant C… vs La Horque… 2-2
Feb 18 Morvant C… vs Ath­let­i… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Morvant Caledonia United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Ath­let­ic Club 3 - 3 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Nov 26, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 0 - 2 Ath­let­ic Club Pro League
May 19, 2023 Ath­let­ic Club 5 - 1 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Apr 09, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 1 - 4 Ath­let­ic Club Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ath­let­ic Club to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ath­let­ic Club Power 0
Morvant Caledonia United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Ath­let­ic Club Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Morvant Caledonia United Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.