AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 18, 2024

Ath­let­ic Club

Home
VS
23:10

Morvant Caledonia United

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Ath­let­ic Club Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Morvant Caledonia United Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.07 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ath­let­ic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Morvant Caledonia United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Ath­let­ic Club Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Ath­let­i… vs Club Sando 2-4
Jan 20 Ath­let­i… vs Prison Se… 5-1
Jan 13 Ath­let­i… vs Police 0-1
Jan 07 Ath­let­i… vs Defence F… 0-1
Jan 03 Ath­let­i… vs Cunupia 1-2
Dec 21 Ath­let­i… vs Central 8-1
Dec 11 Ath­let­i… vs La Horque… 2-1
Nov 26 Ath­let­i… vs Morvant C… 0-2
Sep 28 Ath­let­i… vs Defence F… 1-1
Jun 24 Ath­let­i… vs Defence F… 2-1
Morvant Caledonia United Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Morvant C… vs Point For… 0-0
Jan 19 Morvant C… vs Club Sando 1-2
Jan 14 Morvant C… vs Prison Se… 2-1
Jan 06 Morvant C… vs Police 1-2
Jan 03 Morvant C… vs Defence F… 2-1
Dec 20 Morvant C… vs Cunupia 2-0
Dec 15 Morvant C… vs Central 1-3
Dec 02 Morvant C… vs La Horque… 3-1
Nov 26 Morvant C… vs Ath­let­i… 0-2
Jun 17 Morvant C… vs Cunupia 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ath­let­ic Club in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Morvant Caledonia United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 0 - 2 Ath­let­ic Club Pro League
May 19, 2023 Ath­let­ic Club 5 - 1 Morvant Caledonia U… Pro League
Apr 09, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 1 - 4 Ath­let­ic Club Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ath­let­ic Club to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ath­let­ic Club Power 0
Morvant Caledonia United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Ath­let­ic Club Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Morvant Caledonia United Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.