AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 19, 2023

Ath­let­ic Club

Home
VS
21:00

Morvant Caledonia United

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Ath­let­ic Club Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Morvant Caledonia United Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ath­let­ic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Morvant Caledonia United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Ath­let­ic Club Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Ath­let­i… vs San Juan … 1-3
May 03 Ath­let­i… vs La Horque… 3-2
Apr 30 Ath­let­i… vs La Horque… 2-1
Apr 15 Ath­let­i… vs San Juan … 4-1
Apr 09 Ath­let­i… vs Morvant C… 1-4
Apr 05 Ath­let­i… vs Central 2-1
Apr 01 Ath­let­i… vs Cunupia 0-4
Mar 26 Ath­let­i… vs Prison Se… 5-0
Mar 22 Ath­let­i… vs Police 2-0
Mar 19 Ath­let­i… vs Club Sando 1-0
Morvant Caledonia United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Morvant C… vs La Horque… 3-2
May 10 Morvant C… vs Police 4-2
May 06 Morvant C… vs Defence F… 1-3
May 03 Morvant C… vs Club Sando 3-1
Apr 29 Morvant C… vs Club Sando 0-1
Apr 23 Morvant C… vs Defence F… 5-0
Apr 19 Morvant C… vs Police 2-3
Apr 15 Morvant C… vs La Horque… 5-0
Apr 09 Morvant C… vs Ath­let­i… 1-4
Apr 05 Morvant C… vs Point For… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ath­let­ic Club in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Morvant Caledonia United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 09, 2023 Morvant Caledonia U… 1 - 4 Ath­let­ic Club Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ath­let­ic Club to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ath­let­ic Club Power 0
Morvant Caledonia United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Ath­let­ic Club Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Morvant Caledonia United Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.