AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Apr 08, 2023

New England Revolution

Home
VS
23:30

Montréal Impact

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
New England Revolution Win
42.0%
Draw
25.6%
Montréal Impact Win
32.4%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.31 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
New England Revolution Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Montréal Impact Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
New England Revolution Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 New Engla… vs Houston D… 3-0
Sep 17 New Engla… vs Montréal … 0-1
Sep 14 New Engla… vs Houston D… 3-1
Aug 20 New Engla… vs Montréal … 4-0
Sep 29 New Engla… vs Montréal … 1-4
Jul 25 New Engla… vs Montréal … 2-1
Montréal Impact Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Montréal … vs New Engla… 0-1
Aug 20 Montréal … vs New Engla… 4-0
Sep 29 Montréal … vs New Engla… 1-4
Jul 25 Montréal … vs New Engla… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • New England Revolution struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2022 New England Revolut… 0 - 1 Montréal Impact Major League S…
Aug 20, 2022 Montréal Impact 4 - 0 New England Revolut… Major League S…
Sep 29, 2021 Montréal Impact 1 - 4 New England Revolut… Major League S…
Jul 25, 2021 New England Revolut… 2 - 1 Montréal Impact Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: New England Revolution to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
New England Revolution Power 0
Montréal Impact Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.