AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Mar 06, 2025

Vitória ES

Home
VS
21:30

Rio Branco-VN

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Vitória ES Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rio Branco-VN Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 0.30 - 1.57
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitória ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (24%) 0-2 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 0-3 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Vitória ES Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Mar 31 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 23 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Mar 02 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 20 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Apr 14 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Rio Branco-VN Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Rio Branc… vs USAC 2-1
Feb 27 Rio Branc… vs Novorizon… 1-3
Feb 23 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 0-1
Feb 22 Rio Branc… vs Humaitá 3-2
Feb 20 Rio Branc… vs Amazonas 0-0
Feb 19 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Feb 16 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 1-6
Feb 16 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 2-1
Feb 15 Rio Branc… vs Capixaba … 2-4
Feb 13 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vitória ES struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Rio Branco-VN struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2025 Rio Branco-VN 1 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 31, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 23, 2024 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Mar 02, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 20, 2022 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 3 Vitória ES Capixaba
Apr 14, 2021 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitória ES Power 0
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Vitória ES Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Rio Branco-VN Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.