AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Mar 23, 2024

Vitória ES

Home
VS
20:00

Rio Branco-VN

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Vitória ES Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Rio Branco-VN Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.45 - 1.74
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitória ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (19%) 0-2 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 0-3 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Vitória ES Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 20 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Apr 14 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Rio Branco-VN Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Rio Branc… vs XV de Jau 2-0
Mar 16 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 0-1
Mar 10 Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … 2-0
Mar 10 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 0-0
Mar 02 Rio Branc… vs Vitória ES 2-1
Mar 02 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 0-1
Feb 28 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Feb 16 Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… 0-1
Feb 10 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Jan 31 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rio Branco-VN in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 1 Vitória ES Capixaba
Mar 20, 2022 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 3 Vitória ES Capixaba
Apr 14, 2021 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitória ES Power 0
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Vitória ES Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Rio Branco-VN Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.