AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Mar 02, 2024

Rio Branco-VN

Home
VS
18:30

Vitória ES

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
46.0%
Draw
24.8%
Vitória ES Win
29.2%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.76 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Vitória ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Rio Branco-VN Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Feb 16 Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… 0-1
Feb 10 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
Jan 31 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 3-3
Jan 28 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 2-1
Jan 24 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 4-0
Jan 18 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 1-0
Apr 27 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 0-0
Apr 23 Rio Branc… vs Independê… 2-0
Apr 15 Rio Branc… vs São Franc… 2-0
Vitória ES Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Apr 14 Vitória ES vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 20, 2022 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 3 Vitória ES Capixaba
Apr 14, 2021 Vitória ES 0 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rio Branco-VN to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Vitória ES Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Rio Branco-VN Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Vitória ES Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.