AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer Apr 14, 2024

St. Louis City SC

Home
VS
20:45

Austin

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
St. Louis City SC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Austin Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.50 - 3.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Louis City SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Austin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
St. Louis City SC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-2
Aug 21 St. Louis… vs Austin 6-3
Apr 30 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Mar 12 St. Louis… vs Portland … 1-2
Feb 26 St. Louis… vs Austin 2-3
Austin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Austin vs St. Louis… 2-2
Feb 17 Austin vs New York … 3-2
Feb 03 Austin vs Louisvill… 2-2
Aug 21 Austin vs St. Louis… 6-3
Feb 26 Austin vs St. Louis… 2-3
Feb 11 Austin vs Louisvill… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Louis City SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 10, 2024 Austin 2 - 2 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Aug 21, 2023 St. Louis City SC 6 - 3 Austin Major League S…
Feb 26, 2023 Austin 2 - 3 St. Louis City SC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Louis City SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Louis City SC Power 0
Austin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.