AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Dec 20, 2023

Stade Brestois 29

Home
VS
20:00

Lorient

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Stade Brestois 29 Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Lorient Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.68 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Brestois 29 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Lorient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Stade Brestois 29 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Stade Bre… vs Strasbourg 1-1
Nov 05 Stade Bre… vs Monaco 2-0
Oct 08 Stade Bre… vs Toulouse 1-1
Oct 01 Stade Bre… vs Nice 0-0
Sep 23 Stade Bre… vs Lyon 1-0
Sep 02 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 0-0
Jul 26 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 0-1
Jun 03 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 1-2
May 14 Stade Bre… vs Auxerre 1-0
May 07 Stade Bre… vs Lorient 2-1
Lorient Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Lorient vs Strasbourg 1-2
Dec 17 Lorient vs Strasbourg 1-2
Dec 10 Lorient vs Marseille 2-4
Dec 03 Lorient vs Toulouse 1-1
Dec 03 Lorient vs Toulouse 1-1
Nov 26 Lorient vs Metz 2-3
Nov 26 Lorient vs Metz 2-3
Oct 22 Lorient vs Rennes FC 2-1
Oct 08 Lorient vs Lyon 3-3
Sep 23 Lorient vs Nantes 5-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lorient struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2023 Lorient 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1
Oct 09, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Lorient Ligue 1
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Feb 27, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Lorient Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Brestois 29 Power 31
Lorient Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Stade Brestois 29 Position

-3

Position Gap

9

Lorient Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.