AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 07, 2023

Lorient

Home
VS
13:00

Stade Brestois 29

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Lorient Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Stade Brestois 29 Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.65 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lorient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Stade Brestois 29 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Lorient Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Lorient vs Monaco 3-1
Mar 19 Lorient vs Nice 1-1
Mar 05 Lorient vs Lyon 0-0
Feb 12 Lorient vs Nantes 1-0
Jan 27 Lorient vs Rennes FC 2-1
Jan 11 Lorient vs Monaco 2-2
Dec 21 Lorient vs Nantes 2-1
Nov 13 Lorient vs Strasbourg 1-1
Oct 30 Lorient vs Nice 1-2
Oct 09 Lorient vs Stade Bre… 1-2
Stade Brestois 29 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Stade Bre… vs Nice 1-0
Apr 02 Stade Bre… vs Toulouse 3-1
Mar 05 Stade Bre… vs Strasbourg 0-1
Feb 19 Stade Bre… vs Monaco 1-2
Feb 01 Stade Bre… vs Lyon 0-0
Jan 15 Stade Bre… vs Toulouse 1-1
Jan 01 Stade Bre… vs Monaco 1-0
Dec 28 Stade Bre… vs Lyon 2-4
Dec 22 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 3-1
Nov 06 Stade Bre… vs Nice 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stade Brestois 29 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 09, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Lorient Ligue 1
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Feb 27, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Lorient Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lorient Power 33
Stade Brestois 29 Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Lorient Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Stade Brestois 29 Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.