AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Oct 09, 2022

Stade Brestois 29

Home
VS
13:00

Lorient

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Stade Brestois 29 Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lorient Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.44 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Brestois 29 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Lorient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Stade Brestois 29 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Stade Bre… vs Auxerre 1-1
Sep 04 Stade Bre… vs Strasbourg 1-1
Aug 31 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 3-1
Jul 16 Stade Bre… vs Lorient 1-0
Jul 16 Stade Bre… vs Lorient 1-0
May 14 Stade Bre… vs Monaco 4-2
May 07 Stade Bre… vs Strasbourg 0-1
Apr 20 Stade Bre… vs Lyon 2-1
Feb 27 Stade Bre… vs Lorient 0-1
Feb 06 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 2-0
Lorient Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Lorient vs Nantes 3-2
Sep 07 Lorient vs Lyon 3-1
Aug 07 Lorient vs Rennes FC 0-1
Jul 23 Lorient vs Nantes 2-0
Jul 16 Lorient vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Jul 16 Lorient vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Apr 24 Lorient vs Rennes FC 5-0
Apr 20 Lorient vs Metz 1-0
Apr 17 Lorient vs Nice 2-1
Mar 20 Lorient vs Strasbourg 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lorient in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Feb 27, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Lorient Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Brestois 29 Power 31
Lorient Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Stade Brestois 29 Position

-3

Position Gap

9

Lorient Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.