AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Sep 21, 2024

Rennes FC

Home
VS
17:00

Lens

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Rennes FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lens Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Rennes FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Rennes FC vs Montpelliā€¦ 3-0
Sep 01 Rennes FC vs Reims 2-1
Aug 25 Rennes FC vs Strasbourg 3-1
Aug 18 Rennes FC vs Lyon 3-0
Jul 13 Rennes FC vs Saint-Malo 3-3
May 19 Rennes FC vs Reims 2-1
May 19 Rennes FC vs Reims 2-1
May 12 Rennes FC vs Lens 1-1
May 12 Rennes FC vs Lens 1-1
May 04 Rennes FC vs Metz 2-3
Lens Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Lens vs Lyon 0-0
Sep 01 Lens vs Monaco 1-1
Aug 25 Lens vs Brest 2-0
Aug 18 Lens vs Angers 0-1
Aug 18 Lens vs Angers 0-1
May 19 Lens vs Montpelliā€¦ 2-2
May 19 Lens vs Montpelliā€¦ 2-2
May 12 Lens vs Rennes FC 1-1
May 12 Lens vs Rennes FC 1-1
May 03 Lens vs Lorient 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lens in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2024 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Pro League
May 12, 2024 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Aug 20, 2023 Lens 1 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Apr 01, 2023 Rennes FC 0 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Aug 27, 2022 Lens 2 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Jan 08, 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Aug 08, 2021 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Feb 06, 2021 Lens 0 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rennes FC Power 34
Lens Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rennes FC Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Lens Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.