AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 20, 2023

Lens

Home
VS
18:45

Rennes FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Lens Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Rennes FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.14 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.1
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Lens Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Lens vs Sochaux 3-0
Jul 08 Lens vs Dunkerque 4-4
Jun 03 Lens vs Auxerre 1-3
May 06 Lens vs Marseille 2-1
May 02 Lens vs Toulouse 0-1
Apr 07 Lens vs Strasbourg 2-1
Apr 01 Lens vs Rennes FC 0-1
Mar 18 Lens vs Angers 3-0
Mar 01 Lens vs Nantes 2-1
Feb 19 Lens vs Nantes 3-1
Rennes FC Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Rennes FC vs Metz 5-1
Jul 26 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 0-1
Jul 22 Rennes FC vs Saint-Malo 1-2
Jun 03 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 1-2
May 27 Rennes FC vs Monaco 2-0
Apr 01 Rennes FC vs Lens 0-1
Mar 19 Rennes FC vs Paris Sai… 0-2
Mar 05 Rennes FC vs Marseille 0-1
Feb 04 Rennes FC vs Lille 1-3
Jan 27 Rennes FC vs Lorient 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lens in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Rennes FC in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Rennes FC 0 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Aug 27, 2022 Lens 2 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Jan 08, 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Aug 08, 2021 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Feb 06, 2021 Lens 0 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lens to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lens Power 44
Rennes FC Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lens Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Rennes FC Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.