AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Apr 01, 2023

Rennes FC

Home
VS
19:00

Lens

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Rennes FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lens Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.81 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Rennes FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Rennes FC vs Paris Sai… 0-2
Mar 05 Rennes FC vs Marseille 0-1
Feb 04 Rennes FC vs Lille 1-3
Jan 27 Rennes FC vs Lorient 2-1
Jan 20 Rennes FC vs Marseille 1-0
Jan 15 Rennes FC vs Paris Sai… 1-0
Dec 22 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 3-1
Nov 06 Rennes FC vs Lille 1-1
Sep 18 Rennes FC vs Marseille 1-1
Aug 31 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 3-1
Lens Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Lens vs Angers 3-0
Mar 01 Lens vs Nantes 2-1
Feb 19 Lens vs Nantes 3-1
Feb 01 Lens vs Nice 0-1
Jan 28 Lens vs Estac Tro… 1-1
Jan 14 Lens vs Auxerre 1-0
Jan 11 Lens vs Strasbourg 2-2
Dec 29 Lens vs Nice 0-0
Dec 17 Lens vs LE Havre … 3-0
Nov 05 Lens vs Angers 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rennes FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 27, 2022 Lens 2 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Jan 08, 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Aug 08, 2021 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Feb 06, 2021 Lens 0 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rennes FC Power 34
Lens Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rennes FC Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Lens Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.