AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 27, 2022

Lens

Home
VS
19:00

Rennes FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Lens Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Rennes FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.11 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Lens Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Lens vs Estac Tro… 1-3
Apr 30 Lens vs Nantes 2-2
Apr 10 Lens vs Nice 3-0
Apr 03 Lens vs Strasbourg 1-0
Feb 27 Lens vs Angers 1-2
Jan 22 Lens vs Marseille 0-2
Jan 08 Lens vs Rennes FC 1-0
Dec 22 Lens vs Nice 2-1
Dec 10 Lens vs Nantes 3-2
Nov 26 Lens vs Angers 2-2
Rennes FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Rennes FC vs Monaco 1-1
Aug 07 Rennes FC vs Lorient 0-1
May 21 Rennes FC vs Lille 2-2
Apr 24 Rennes FC vs Lorient 5-0
Apr 15 Rennes FC vs Monaco 2-3
Mar 20 Rennes FC vs Metz 6-1
Feb 11 Rennes FC vs Paris Sai… 1-0
Feb 06 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 2-0
Jan 08 Rennes FC vs Lens 1-0
Dec 22 Rennes FC vs Monaco 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lens in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Aug 08, 2021 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Feb 06, 2021 Lens 0 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lens to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lens Power 44
Rennes FC Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lens Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Rennes FC Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.