AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Jan 08, 2022

Lens

Home
VS
20:00

Rennes FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Lens Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Rennes FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.26 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Lens Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Lens vs Nice 2-1
Dec 10 Lens vs Nantes 3-2
Nov 26 Lens vs Angers 2-2
Nov 05 Lens vs Estac Tro… 4-0
Sep 26 Lens vs Marseille 2-3
Sep 22 Lens vs Strasbourg 0-1
Aug 08 Lens vs Rennes FC 1-1
Jul 17 Lens vs LE Havre … 2-2
Mar 21 Lens vs Strasbourg 1-2
Feb 28 Lens vs Angers 2-2
Rennes FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Rennes FC vs Monaco 2-1
Dec 18 Rennes FC vs Lorient 1-0
Dec 01 Rennes FC vs Lille 1-2
Nov 28 Rennes FC vs Lorient 0-2
Oct 17 Rennes FC vs Metz 0-3
Oct 03 Rennes FC vs Paris Sai… 2-0
Aug 08 Rennes FC vs Lens 1-1
Jul 10 Rennes FC vs LE Havre … 2-2
Jul 10 Rennes FC vs LE Havre … 2-2
May 16 Rennes FC vs Monaco 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rennes FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 08, 2021 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Lens Ligue 1
Feb 06, 2021 Lens 0 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lens to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lens Power 44
Rennes FC Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lens Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Rennes FC Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.