AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 06, 2024

Leicester

Home
VS
14:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Leicester Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Birmingham Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 1.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Leicester Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Leicester vs Norwich C… 3-1
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 09 Leicester vs Hull City 2-2
Mar 05 Leicester vs Sunderland 0-1
Mar 02 Leicester vs QPR 1-2
Mar 02 Leicester vs QPR 1-2
Feb 23 Leicester vs Leeds 3-1
Feb 17 Leicester vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Feb 17 Leicester vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Birmingham Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Preston 1-0
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Harrogate 5-1
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Harrogate 5-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs QPR 2-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs QPR 2-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs Crewe 0-0
Mar 23 Birmingham vs Morecambe 2-3
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Watford 0-1
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Watford 0-1
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Grimsby 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2024 Leicester 3 - 0 Birmingham FA Cup
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Championship
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Aug 26, 2020 Birmingham 0 - 2 Leicester Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leicester Power 33
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Leicester Position

-7

Position Gap

13

Birmingham Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.