AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Jan 27, 2024

Leicester

Home
VS
15:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Leicester Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Birmingham Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.70 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Leicester Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Leicester vs Ipswich 1-1
Jan 22 Leicester vs Ipswich 1-1
Jan 13 Leicester vs Coventry 3-1
Jan 13 Leicester vs Coventry 3-1
Jan 01 Leicester vs Huddersfi… 4-1
Dec 29 Leicester vs Cardiff 0-2
Dec 26 Leicester vs Ipswich 1-1
Dec 26 Leicester vs Ipswich 1-1
Dec 23 Leicester vs Rotherham… 3-0
Dec 18 Leicester vs Birmingham 2-3
Birmingham Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-2
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Swansea 2-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Swansea 2-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Accringto… 1-2
Jan 01 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 01 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 01 Birmingham vs Leeds 3-0
Dec 29 Birmingham vs Southampt… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Championship
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Aug 26, 2020 Birmingham 0 - 2 Leicester Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Leicester to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leicester Power 33
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.