AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Dec 18, 2023

Birmingham

Home
VS
20:00

Leicester

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Birmingham Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Leicester Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.05 - 1.01
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Birmingham Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Birmingham vs Brentford 0-2
Dec 13 Birmingham vs Cardiff 0-1
Dec 08 Birmingham vs Coventry 2-0
Dec 08 Birmingham vs Coventry 2-0
Dec 02 Birmingham vs Rotherham… 0-0
Nov 29 Birmingham vs Blackburn 4-2
Nov 28 Birmingham vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Nov 25 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 2-1
Nov 25 Birmingham vs Sheffield… 2-1
Nov 25 Birmingham vs Tranmere … 3-1
Leicester Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Leicester vs Millwall 3-2
Dec 09 Leicester vs Plymouth 4-0
Dec 02 Leicester vs West Brom 1-2
Dec 02 Leicester vs West Brom 1-2
Nov 29 Leicester vs Sheffield… 1-1
Nov 25 Leicester vs Watford 2-0
Nov 25 Leicester vs Watford 2-0
Oct 28 Leicester vs QPR 1-2
Oct 07 Leicester vs Stoke City 2-0
Sep 23 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leicester in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Birmingham struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 26, 2020 Birmingham 0 - 2 Leicester Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

PRO: Birmingham to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham Power 36
Leicester Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Birmingham Position

+7

Position Gap

20

Leicester Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.