AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 21, 2022

Ipswich

Home
VS
19:00

Derby

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ipswich Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Derby Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.10 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ipswich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Derby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Ipswich Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Ipswich vs Portsmout… 3-2
Sep 17 Ipswich vs Sheffield… 2-2
Jul 23 Ipswich vs Millwall 1-1
Mar 19 Ipswich vs Oxford Un… 1-1
Mar 12 Ipswich vs Portsmout… 0-0
Jan 29 Ipswich vs Sheffield… 1-0
Nov 13 Ipswich vs Oxford Un… 0-0
Oct 19 Ipswich vs Portsmout… 0-4
Sep 25 Ipswich vs Sheffield… 1-1
Jul 31 Ipswich vs Millwall 0-3
Derby Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Derby vs West Brom 1-0
Aug 06 Derby vs Charlton 1-0
Jul 23 Derby vs Leicester 1-3
Apr 23 Derby vs Bristol C… 1-3
Apr 09 Derby vs Swansea 2-1
Apr 02 Derby vs Preston 1-0
Feb 23 Derby vs Millwall 1-2
Feb 12 Derby vs Middlesbr… 4-1
Jan 30 Derby vs Birmingham 2-2
Dec 27 Derby vs West Brom 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derby struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ipswich to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ipswich Power 43
Derby Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.