AI Match Insights

Jupiler Pro League Dec 21, 2023

Gent

Home
VS
19:45

OH Leuven

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Gent Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
OH Leuven Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Gent Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-0
Dec 17 Gent vs Kortrijk 4-0
Dec 17 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-0
Dec 10 Gent vs AS Eupen 1-3
Dec 09 Gent vs RWD Molen… 4-0
Dec 06 Gent vs St. Truid… 0-1
Dec 06 Gent vs Oostende 3-1
Dec 03 Gent vs Gent 2-2
Dec 03 Gent vs Gent 2-2
Nov 26 Gent vs St. Gillo… 1-1
OH Leuven Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 1-2
Dec 09 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 1-1
Nov 26 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 0-1
Nov 12 OH Leuven vs Gent 3-1
Oct 22 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 4-0
Oct 07 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 3-2
Sep 30 OH Leuven vs Standard … 1-2
Sep 23 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 1-2
Sep 17 OH Leuven vs Gent 1-1
Aug 12 OH Leuven vs Union Sai… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gent in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • OH Leuven struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2023 Gent 3 - 1 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Sep 17, 2023 OH Leuven 1 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 08, 2023 Gent 4 - 0 OH Leuven Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2023 Gent 2 - 1 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 19, 2023 Gent 2 - 0 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 30, 2022 OH Leuven 1 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 15, 2022 OH Leuven 0 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Apr 10, 2022 Gent 5 - 0 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 09, 2022 OH Leuven 2 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 11, 2021 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Gent Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gent to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gent Power 0
OH Leuven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Gent Position

+9

Position Gap

14

OH Leuven Position

Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.