AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Jan 25, 2025

Charleroi

Home
VS
17:15

Cercle Brugge

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Charleroi Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Cercle Brugge Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 0.34 - 2.02
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charleroi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Cercle Brugge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-1 (19%) 0-3 (13%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Charleroi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Charleroi vs Gent 1-1
Jan 11 Charleroi vs St. Gillo… 1-2
Jan 11 Charleroi vs Union Sai… 1-2
Dec 26 Charleroi vs Kortrijk 0-1
Dec 21 Charleroi vs St. Truid… 2-1
Dec 21 Charleroi vs St. Truid… 2-1
Dec 14 Charleroi vs Oud-Hever… 1-0
Dec 08 Charleroi vs Antwerp 1-3
Dec 08 Charleroi vs Antwerp 1-3
Nov 30 Charleroi vs Standard … 1-1
Cercle Brugge Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Cercle Br… vs Dender 0-1
Jan 18 Cercle Br… vs Beerschot… 4-2
Jan 15 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-1
Jan 12 Cercle Br… vs Anderlecht 0-3
Jan 12 Cercle Br… vs Mechelen 1-0
Jan 12 Cercle Br… vs Mechelen 1-0
Jan 12 Cercle Br… vs Anderlecht 0-3
Jan 07 Cercle Br… vs OH Leuven 3-0
Dec 27 Cercle Br… vs St. Truid… 1-1
Dec 26 Cercle Br… vs Westerlo 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cercle Brugge in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 03, 2024 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Pro League
Sep 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Sep 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Charleroi 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Charleroi 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 4 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 4 Cercle Brugge Pro League
Sep 16, 2023 Cercle Brugge 4 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Aug 05, 2023 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Charleroi to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charleroi Power 0
Cercle Brugge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Charleroi Position

+9

Position Gap

15

Cercle Brugge Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.