AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Mar 16, 2025

Montpellier HSC

Home
VS
16:15

Saint-Étienne

Away
AI Predictions 49.2% Confidence
Montpellier HSC Win
21.0%
Draw
29.8%
Saint-Étienne Win
49.2%
Away Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.01 - 2.24
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Saint-Étienne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 1-3 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Montpellier HSC Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Montpelli… vs Lille 1-0
Mar 02 Montpelli… vs Rennes FC 0-4
Feb 23 Montpelli… vs Nice 2-0
Feb 16 Montpelli… vs Lyon 1-4
Feb 09 Montpelli… vs Strasbourg 2-0
Jan 31 Montpelli… vs Lens 0-2
Jan 26 Montpelli… vs Toulouse 1-2
Jan 17 Montpelli… vs Monaco 2-1
Jan 12 Montpelli… vs Angers 1-3
Jan 04 Montpelli… vs Lyon 1-0
Saint-Étienne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-0
Jul 31 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-2
Feb 05 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 3-1
Sep 12 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 2-0
May 02 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-2
Nov 01 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Saint-Étienne in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 Saint-Étienne 1 - 0 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Jul 31, 2024 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Friendlies Clu…
Feb 05, 2022 Saint-Étienne 3 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2021 Montpellier HSC 2 - 0 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
May 02, 2021 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
Nov 01, 2020 Saint-Étienne 0 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

MASTER: Montpellier HSC to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 36 vs 0
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Saint-Étienne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.