AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 23, 2024

Saint-Étienne

Home
VS
18:00

Montpellier HSC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Saint-Étienne Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Montpellier HSC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Saint-Étienne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Saint-Étienne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 31 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-2
Feb 05 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 3-1
Sep 12 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 2-0
May 02 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-2
Nov 01 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 0-1
Montpellier HSC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Montpelli… vs Brest 3-1
Nov 03 Montpelli… vs LE Havre … 1-0
Oct 27 Montpelli… vs Toulouse 0-3
Oct 20 Montpelli… vs Marseille 0-5
Oct 06 Montpelli… vs Reims 4-2
Sep 28 Montpelli… vs Monaco 2-1
Sep 22 Montpelli… vs Auxerre 3-2
Sep 15 Montpelli… vs Rennes FC 3-0
Aug 31 Montpelli… vs Nantes 1-3
Aug 23 Montpelli… vs Paris FC 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Saint-Étienne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 31, 2024 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Friendlies Clu…
Feb 05, 2022 Saint-Étienne 3 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2021 Montpellier HSC 2 - 0 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
May 02, 2021 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
Nov 01, 2020 Saint-Étienne 0 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Montpellier HSC to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Saint-Étienne Power 0
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.