AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 29, 2023

Montpellier HSC

Home
VS
14:00

Saint-Étienne

Away
AI Predictions 40.4% Confidence
Montpellier HSC Win
32.0%
Draw
27.6%
Saint-Étienne Win
40.4%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.19 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Saint-Étienne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Montpellier HSC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Montpelli… vs Nice 1-0
May 27 Montpelli… vs Nice 2-3
Jan 11 Montpelli… vs Nice 6-1
Jan 06 Montpelli… vs Pau FC 2-1
May 01 Montpelli… vs Metz 2-2
Mar 12 Montpelli… vs Nice 0-0
Feb 05 Montpelli… vs Saint-Éti… 3-1
Dec 01 Montpelli… vs Metz 1-3
Sep 12 Montpelli… vs Saint-Éti… 2-0
Jul 31 Montpelli… vs Metz 1-0
Saint-Étienne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 3-1
Sep 12 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 2-0
May 02 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 1-2
Nov 01 Saint-Éti… vs Montpelli… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2022 Saint-Étienne 3 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2021 Montpellier HSC 2 - 0 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
May 02, 2021 Montpellier HSC 1 - 2 Saint-Étienne Ligue 1
Nov 01, 2020 Saint-Étienne 0 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

MASTER: Montpellier HSC to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 36 vs 0
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Saint-Étienne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.