AI Match Insights

3. Liga Dec 10, 2023

Jahn Regensburg

Home
VS
12:30

FC Viktoria Koln

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Jahn Regensburg Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Viktoria Koln Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.77 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jahn Regensburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
FC Viktoria Koln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Jahn Regensburg Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Jahn Rege… vs FC Ingols… 2-4
Oct 04 Jahn Rege… vs Waldhof M… 2-0
Sep 03 Jahn Rege… vs MSV Duisb… 2-1
Apr 08 Jahn Rege… vs FC Ingols… 1-1
Oct 31 Jahn Rege… vs FC Ingols… 0-3
FC Viktoria Koln Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 FC Viktor… vs SSV Ulm 1… 1-3
Oct 07 FC Viktor… vs Waldhof M… 1-1
Sep 23 FC Viktor… vs MSV Duisb… 2-0
Aug 19 FC Viktor… vs FC Saarbr… 1-2
Aug 05 FC Viktor… vs Verl 3-1
May 27 FC Viktor… vs FC Saarbr… 2-1
Apr 17 FC Viktor… vs MSV Duisb… 2-2
Apr 01 FC Viktor… vs Verl 2-1
Jan 29 FC Viktor… vs Waldhof M… 1-4
Jan 20 FC Viktor… vs FC Saarbr… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jahn Regensburg in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Viktoria Koln in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jahn Regensburg Power 56
FC Viktoria Koln Power 67
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Jahn Regensburg Position

-2

Position Gap

12

FC Viktoria Koln Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.