AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Apr 08, 2025

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Home
VS
17:00

Erzgebirge AUE

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Erzgebirge AUE Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.28 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 1-1
Mar 29 FC Saarbr… vs Hansa Ros… 0-0
Mar 08 FC Saarbr… vs Energie C… 2-1
Feb 28 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 1-2
Feb 08 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 2-1
Dec 01 FC Saarbr… vs Rot-Weiß … 1-0
Nov 02 FC Saarbr… vs Erzgebirg… 1-1
Oct 26 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 1-1
Oct 22 FC Saarbr… vs Hansa Ros… 2-0
Sep 28 FC Saarbr… vs Energie C… 4-1
Erzgebirge AUE Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 4-1
Mar 01 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 0-2
Jan 07 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 2-2
Dec 07 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-0
Nov 02 Erzgebirg… vs FC Saarbr… 1-1
Oct 05 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 1-2
Sep 24 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 2-1
May 18 Erzgebirg… vs Waldhof M… 2-0
May 12 Erzgebirg… vs MSV Duisb… 2-2
May 04 Erzgebirg… vs Arminia B… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC SaarbrĂĽcken in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2024 Erzgebirge AUE 1 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Mar 09, 2024 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Oct 07, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Feb 26, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Aug 20, 2022 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Final Verdict

ELITE: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (90% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 90% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 24
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position

+1

Position Gap

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.