AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Nov 02, 2024

Erzgebirge AUE

Home
VS
13:00

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Erzgebirge AUE Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.28 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Erzgebirge AUE Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 1-2
Sep 24 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 2-1
May 18 Erzgebirg… vs Waldhof M… 2-0
May 12 Erzgebirg… vs MSV Duisb… 2-2
May 04 Erzgebirg… vs Arminia B… 1-0
Apr 27 Erzgebirg… vs Borussia … 2-2
Apr 20 Erzgebirg… vs SpVgg Unt… 2-1
Mar 30 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 2-2
Mar 09 Erzgebirg… vs FC Saarbr… 2-0
Dec 19 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-1
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 1-1
Oct 22 FC Saarbr… vs Hansa Ros… 2-0
Sep 28 FC Saarbr… vs Energie C… 4-1
Sep 25 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 1-0
Aug 31 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 0-1
Aug 18 FC Saarbr… vs FC Nurnbe… 1-1
May 18 FC Saarbr… vs Jahn Rege… 0-1
May 12 FC Saarbr… vs Freiburg … 2-1
May 05 FC Saarbr… vs Preussen … 4-1
Apr 27 FC Saarbr… vs Hallesche… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Erzgebirge AUE in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC SaarbrĂĽcken in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2024 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Oct 07, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Feb 26, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Aug 20, 2022 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 0-2 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position

-1

Position Gap

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.