AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Mar 09, 2024

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Home
VS
13:00

Erzgebirge AUE

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Erzgebirge AUE Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.18 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 2-5
Feb 18 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 0-2
Dec 06 FC Saarbr… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Oct 22 FC Saarbr… vs Rot-Weiß … 2-1
Oct 07 FC Saarbr… vs Erzgebirg… 2-0
Sep 23 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 1-1
Aug 19 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 1-2
May 27 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 2-1
Apr 02 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 2-1
Mar 18 FC Saarbr… vs Rot-Weiß … 3-0
Erzgebirge AUE Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-1
Dec 09 Erzgebirg… vs MSV Duisb… 1-1
Oct 22 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 1-2
Oct 07 Erzgebirg… vs FC Saarbr… 2-0
Aug 06 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-0
May 20 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 0-3
May 05 Erzgebirg… vs MSV Duisb… 3-0
Feb 26 Erzgebirg… vs FC Saarbr… 2-1
Feb 17 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 1-2
Jan 16 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC SaarbrĂĽcken in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Feb 26, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Aug 20, 2022 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Final Verdict

ELITE: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (90% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 90% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 24
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position

+1

Position Gap

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.